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Effect of Iran's Membership in Shanghai Cooperation Organization on Macro indicators of Iran's Agricultural Sector (Regional Computable General Equilibrium Approach) | ||
| پژوهشنامه اقتصاد کلان Macroeconomics Research Letter | ||
| Article 3, Volume 19, Issue 44, January 2025, Pages 75-100 PDF (1.03 M) | ||
| Document Type: Scientific paper | ||
| DOI: 10.22080/mrl.2024.27295.2089 | ||
| Author | ||
| Seyed Mohammad Fahimifard* | ||
| Assistance Professor of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural Planning, Economic and Rural Development Research Institute (APERDRI), Tehran, Iran | ||
| Receive Date: 18 June 2024, Revise Date: 11 September 2024, Accept Date: 14 September 2024 | ||
| Abstract | ||
| In this study, the effect of Iran's membership in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and reduction of trade tariffs between Iran and the aforementioned organization (under 25%, 50% and 100% scenarios) on major indicators of Iran's agricultural sector (exports, employment, capital formation and added value) was discussed using regional computable general equilibrium model based on Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP). For this purpose, required data was extracted from version10 of GTAP database and data analysis was done using MATLAB software. Results showed that, with Iran's membership in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the reduction of trade tariffs between Iran and other member countries of this organization, the macro variables of Iran's agricultural sector, including: export, capital formation, employment, and as a result, the added value of Iran's agricultural sector increases. Because with Iran's membership in this organization and the reduction of trade tariffs with its member countries, Iran will benefit from new capacities and facilities that can reduce the pressures caused by economic sanctions from Western countries. Also, the reduction of light and heavy industry tariffs between Iran and other member countries of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, especially China, India and Russia, which are among the leading countries in the field of agricultural knowledge and technologies, will increase the productivity of Iran's agricultural sector due to the ease of importing advanced machinery and technologies with lower cost and as a result lead to an increase in the macro variables of this sector, including exports, capital formation, employment and added value. | ||
| Keywords | ||
| Shanghai Cooperation Organization; agricultural sector; reduction of trade tariffs; regional general equilibrium model | ||
| References | ||
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