دانشگاه مازندران

 آمار

تعداد نشریات32
تعداد شماره‌ها581
تعداد مقالات5,665
تعداد مشاهده مقاله8,610,298
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله6,280,627
Peter, Olumuyiwa, Ojo, Mayowa M., Balogun, Ghaniyyat Bolanle, Bolarin, Gbolahan, Dere, Zainab O. (1405). Modeling the Role of Environment and Asymptomatic Carriers in Infectious Disease Transmission. پژوهشنامه مدیریت اجرایی, (), -. doi: 10.22080/cjms.2026.30871.1794
Olumuyiwa James Peter; Mayowa M. Ojo; Ghaniyyat Bolanle Balogun; Gbolahan Bolarin; Zainab O Dere. "Modeling the Role of Environment and Asymptomatic Carriers in Infectious Disease Transmission". پژوهشنامه مدیریت اجرایی, , , 1405, -. doi: 10.22080/cjms.2026.30871.1794
Peter, Olumuyiwa, Ojo, Mayowa M., Balogun, Ghaniyyat Bolanle, Bolarin, Gbolahan, Dere, Zainab O. (1405). 'Modeling the Role of Environment and Asymptomatic Carriers in Infectious Disease Transmission', پژوهشنامه مدیریت اجرایی, (), pp. -. doi: 10.22080/cjms.2026.30871.1794
Peter, Olumuyiwa, Ojo, Mayowa M., Balogun, Ghaniyyat Bolanle, Bolarin, Gbolahan, Dere, Zainab O. Modeling the Role of Environment and Asymptomatic Carriers in Infectious Disease Transmission. پژوهشنامه مدیریت اجرایی, 1405; (): -. doi: 10.22080/cjms.2026.30871.1794

Modeling the Role of Environment and Asymptomatic Carriers in Infectious Disease Transmission

Caspian Journal of Mathematical Sciences
مقالات آماده انتشار، پذیرفته شده، انتشار آنلاین از تاریخ 21 تیر 1405
نوع مقاله: Research Articles
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22080/cjms.2026.30871.1794
نویسندگان
Olumuyiwa James Peter* 1؛ Mayowa M. Ojo2؛ Ghaniyyat Bolanle Balogun3؛ Gbolahan Bolarin4؛ Zainab O Dere5
1Department of Mathematical and Computer Science University of Medical Science, Ondo, Nigeria
2University of South Africa
3University of Ilorin
4Fedeal University of technology Minna, Nigeria
5Florida State University, Tallahassee, 32306, FL, USA
تاریخ دریافت: 01 دی 1404،  تاریخ بازنگری: 24 فروردین 1405،  تاریخ پذیرش: 05 اردیبهشت 1405 
چکیده
Understanding the transmission mechanisms of infectious disease is critical for developing effective control and prevention techniques. This paper proposes a deterministic compartmental model that accounts for both direct and indirect transmission channels, including asymptomatic carriers and environmental reservoirs. The model expands on the classic SEIR framework by including compartments for asymptomatic individuals and environmental pathogen concentration. We conduct qualitative evaluations to define disease-free and endemic equilibria, and use the next-generation matrix approach to get the basic reproduction number $R_0$. The model highlights the roles of three major transmission pathways: asymptomatic, symptomatic, and environmental. Stability study indicates that the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable when the basic reproduction number is less than unity. Sensitivity analysis employing Partial Rank Correlation Coefficients (PRCC) finds the parameters that have the greatest influence on disease transmission. Numerical simulation results show that asymptomatic transmission and environmental pollution play significant roles in maintaining outbreaks. The findings highlight the importance of comprehensive public health interventions that address hidden transmission routes, such as improving asymptomatic detection and environmental hygiene, in order to effectively reduce disease burden.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Infectious disease؛ effective reproduction number؛ stability analysis؛ sensitivity analysis
آمار
تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 2


سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی. قدرت گرفته از سیناوب