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بررسی جایگاه صنعت گردشگری در بازار سهام ایران: رویکرد نظریه شبکه | ||
| برنامه ریزی و توسعه گردشگری | ||
| مقاله 2، دوره 11، شماره 41، تیر 1401، صفحه 43-72 اصل مقاله (819.39 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: علمی-پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22080/jtpd.2022.23165.3665 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| پرویز رستم زاده* 1؛ زینب یادگار2؛ ابراهیم هادیان1؛ روح اله شهنازی1 | ||
| 1بخش اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد مدیریت و علوم اجتماعی، دانشگاه شیراز، شیراز، ایران | ||
| 2بخش اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد مدیریت و علوم اجتماعی، دانشگاه شیراز، شیراز، ایران. | ||
| تاریخ دریافت: 18 اسفند 1400، تاریخ بازنگری: 30 فروردین 1401، تاریخ پذیرش: 10 اردیبهشت 1401 | ||
| چکیده | ||
| یکی از صنایع کوچک و نسبتا جوان بازار سهام، صنعت گردشگری است که چندین شرکت از جمله گروه سرمایه‌گذاری میراث فرهنگی در این گروه جای دارند. با استفاده از نظریه شبکه‌های پیچیده 2 شبکه برای بررسی جایگاه صنعت گردشگری در بازار سهام در ایران ارایه می‌شود. نخست با رویکرد بنیادی، یک شبکه از 36 صنعت منتخب اقتصاد ایران مطابق با صنایع فعال در بازار سهام انتخاب می‌شوند و وزن یال‌ها مطابق با جدول 36 بخشی داده- ستانده اقتصاد ایران تعیین می‌شود. در مرحله بعد با رویکرد تحلیل تکنیکالی، یک شبکه همبستگی میان شاخص بازار سهام این 36 صنعت تشکیل می‌شود. سپس با معیارهای مرکزیت، جایگاه صنعت گردشگری در بازار سهام ایران و ارتباط آن با سایر صنایع بازار سهام ایران مشخص می‌گردد. مطابق با نتایج به دست آمده از شبکه تحلیل بنیادی، صنعت غذایی بیشترین تاثیرگذاری را بر گردشگری دارد که دلیل آن تامین مواد غذایی برای هتل‌ها و رستوران‌ها است. پیمانکاری صنعتی، بیشترین تاثیرپذیری را از گردشگری دارد که دلیل آن تاثیر گردشگری بر فعالیت‌های پیمانکاری نظیر مرمت بناهای تاریخی است. مطابق با نتایج به دست آمده از شبکه تحلیل تکنیکالی، شاخص بازار سهام صنعت گردشگری بیشترین میزان همبستگی را با شاخص بازار سهام صنعت چاپ و انتشارات دارد. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| صنعت گردشگری؛ بازار سهام؛ تحلیل بنیادی و تکنیکال؛ شبکه‌های پیچیده؛ تحلیل داده- ستانده | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| An Analysis of the Tourism industry in Iran Stock Market: Network Theory Approach | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| parviz rostamzadeh1؛ zeinab yadegar2؛ ebrahim hadian1؛ ruhollah Shahnazi1 | ||
| 1Department of Economics, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran. | ||
| 2Department of Economics, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran. | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| One of the small and young industries in the stock market is the tourism industry, which includes several companies, including the Cultural Heritage Investment Group. In the present by using the complex networks theory two networks are presented. First, a network is chosen from 36 industries in Iran economy according to active industries in the stock market using a fundamental approach. The weight of the edges is determined according to a 36-section of input-output table. In the next step, a correlation network among the stock market indices of these 36 industries is formed using a technical analysis approach. a centrality criteria is used to provide an approach to determine the position of the tourism industry as well as its connection with other industries in Iran stock market. According to the results, the food industry has the most impact on the tourism due to the required food supplement for hotels and restaurants. The industrial contracting is the most affected by the tourism due to the impact of tourism development on activities such as the restoration of historic buildings. The stock market index of the tourism has the highest correlation with the stock market index of the Printing and publishing. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها [English] | ||
| Tourism industry, Stock market, Fundamental and Technical Analysis, Complex Networks, Input-output Analysis | ||
| مراجع | ||
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