تعداد نشریات | 29 |
تعداد شمارهها | 431 |
تعداد مقالات | 4,216 |
تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 6,796,805 |
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 5,043,866 |
بررسی اثر تکانه های اسمی و حقیقی بر شدت مصرف انرژی در ایران : یک رهیافت ساختاری | ||
پژوهشنامه اقتصاد کلان Macroeconomics Research Letter | ||
مقاله 6، دوره 17، شماره 34، تیر 1401، صفحه 137-166 اصل مقاله (653.56 K) | ||
نوع مقاله: علمی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22080/iejm.2023.23057.1906 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
یوسف عیسی زاده روشن* 1؛ مانی موتمنی2؛ شیدا لک3 | ||
1عضو هیات علمی گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه مازندران | ||
2دانشگاه مازندران | ||
3UNIVERSITY OF MAZANDARAN | ||
تاریخ دریافت: 12 بهمن 1400، تاریخ بازنگری: 13 تیر 1401، تاریخ پذیرش: 29 مرداد 1401 | ||
چکیده | ||
انرژی بهعنوان یکی از مهمترین نهاده های تولید و همچنین بهعنوان یکی از ضروریترین کالاهای مصرفی نهایی قلمداد می گردد . اگر شاخص شدت مصرف انرژی معیاری جهت ارزیابی بهرهوری انرژی در نظر گرفته شود، با وقوع تکانههای اسمی و حقیقی در اقتصاد، این شاخص تغییر می کند. هدف اصلی این مقاله بررسی تأثیر تکانههای اسمی و حقیقی در اقتصاد بر شدت مصرف انرژی در ایران می باشد. برای این منظور از تکانه نقدینگی و مخارج دولت بعنوان تکانههای اسمی ، و از تکانه نرخ ارز حقیقی و بهرهوری کل عوامل تولید بهعنوان تکانههای حقیقی استفاده شده است. با توجه به دادههای سری زمانی 1399-1353، از طریق الگوی خود رگرسیون برداری ساختاری (SVAR)، مدل تحقیق برآورد گردیده است. نتایج حاصل از توابع واکنش آنی و تجزیه واریانس نشان میدهد: اثر تکانه نرخ ارز حقیقی و نقدینگی بر شدت مصرف انرژی مثبت و پایدار و اثر تکانه مخارج دولت و تکانه بهرهوری کل عوامل تولید ، منفی و پایدار بودهاست. همچنین تکانههای حقیقی (بهرهوری کل عوامل تولید و نرخ ارز حقیقی) نسبت به تکانه های اسمی (مخارج دولت و حجم نقدینگی) سهم بیشتری در تغییرات شدت مصرف انرژی داشتهاند. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
تکانه های اسمی؛ تکانه های حقیقی؛ شدت مصرف انرژی؛ SVAR | ||
عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
The Effect of Nominal and real Shocks on the Energy Intensity in Iran: A structural approach | ||
نویسندگان [English] | ||
Yousef Eisazadeh Roshan1؛ Mani Motameni2؛ sheyda lak3 | ||
1Faculty member of Economics at University of Mazandarn | ||
2University of Mazandaran, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Science | ||
3UNIVERSITY OF MAZANDARAN | ||
چکیده [English] | ||
The issue of energy efficiency is very important due to the limitation of non-renewable resources, greenhouse gas emissions, loss of green areas, global warming, and environmental pollution. The importance of this issue in Iran is twofold due to the dependence of the country's foreign exchange earnings on energy resources. The energy intensity index, which measures the energy consumed for GDP, is one of the most important indicators for assessing energy efficiency. This index is affected by many nominal and real economic, political, and social variables that need to be examined to improve energy efficiency, the effect of these factors on the intensity of energy consumption. The main objective of this paper is to investigate the effect of nominal and real impulses in the energy intensity in Iran According to the time series data of 1353-1399, the research model itself regression (SVAR) model is estimated. The results of the instantaneous reaction functions and analysis of variance show that the effect of the real exchange rate and liquidity on the intensity of positive and sustainable energy consumption and the impact of government expenditure and total productivity of the total production factors has been negative and stable. The also has a negative effect. Also, real impulses (productivity of total production factors and real exchange rates) have a greater contribution to the intensity of energy intensity. | ||
کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
Nominal Shocks, Real Shocks, Energy Intensity, SVAR | ||
مراجع | ||
Abrishami, H. (2002). Sources of economic fluctuations in Iran, Economic Researches, 60, 1-58. Adam, P.K. (2015). Asymmetric impact of the determinants of energy intensity in Nigeria. Energy Economics, 49, 570-580. Aleemran, R., Paytakhti, O.A., & Tabaghchi, A.L. (2012). The effect of foreign trade on energy consumption in the selected countries of the ECO Organization. Journal of Economic Studies, 1(2), 1-25. Asadimanesh, R. (2020). Energy Subsidy Review in Iran and World. Oppax Union Research. (http://www.opex.ir) Azhgaliyeva, D., Liu, Y., & Liddle, B. (2020). An empirical analysis energy intensity and the role of policy instruments, Energy Policy, 145, 111773. Baniasadi, M., & Mohseni, R. (2014). The effect of temporary and permanent shocks of productivity on energy intensity of energy consumption Iran (Application of Blanchard-Quah Method), Iranian Energy Economics, 3(10), 41-65. Blanchard, O. J., & Perotti, R. (2002). An empirical characterization of the dynamic effects of changes in government spending and taxes on output, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4), 1329-1368. Chen, Zh., Huang, W., & Zheng, X. (2019). The decline in energy in energy intensity: Does financial development matter?, Energy Policy, 134, 110945. Daneshjafari, D., Shahraki, S. A., Asnaashari., A., & Hatami, Y. (2013). The Impact of exchange rate shocks on the Challenges and Prospects of employment in the industrial sector of Iran, Journal of The Macro and Strategic, 1(1), 93-104. Dargahi, H., & Biabani, K. K. (2016). The role of price, income and efficiency in Iran’s energy Intensity, Economic Researches, 51(2), 355-384. Ebrahimi, M., Mamipour, S., & Bani Mashhadi Ali, M. (2019). Investigating factors affecting energy intensity with emphasis on structural break in Iran, Journal of Sustainable Growth and Development (The Economic Research), 19(2), 87-107. Eghbali, A., Gaskari, R., Moradi, M, & Parhizi., H. (2015). Energy intensity in oil and Non-Oil exporting Countries, Economic Researches, 50(1), 1-20. Farajzadeh, Z. (2015). Energy intensity in the Iranians economy: components and determinants, Iranian Energy Economics, 4(15), 43-86. Galadima, M. D., & Aminu, A. W. (2019). Shocks effects of macroeconomic variables on natural gas consumption in Nigeria: Structural VAR with sign restrictions, Energy Policy, 125, 135-144.Glasure, Y.U. (2002). Energy and national income in Korea, further evidence on the role of omitted variables, Energy Economics, 24, 355-365. Halkos, G. E., & Paizanos, E. Α. (2016). The Effects of fiscal policy on CO2 emissions: evidence from the USA. Energy Policy, 88, 317-328. He, Y., & Lin, B. (2019). Investigating environmental Kuznets curve from an energy intensity perspective: empirical evidence from China, Journal of Cleaner Production, 234, 1013-1022. Herrerias, M. J., Cuadros, A., & Orts, V. (2013). Energy intensity and investment ownership across Chinese provinces, Energy Economics, 36, 286-298. Heydari, K., & Sadeghi, S. (2019). Decomposition of Energy Intensity Behavior: By Concentrating on Institutional and Economic Infrastructures, Economic Researches, 54(1), 21-45. Hille, E., & Lambernd, B. (2010). The role of innovation in reducing South Korea's energy intensity: Regional-data evidence on various energy carriers, Journal of Environmental Management, 262, 110293. Huang, J.B., Du, D., & Hao, Y. (2017). The driving forces of the change in China's energy intensity: An empirical research using DEA-Malmquist and spatial panel estimation, Economics Model, 65, 40-49. Jalali Naieni, S., & Nazifi, F. (2002). Asymmetric effects of monetary Shocks on Output, Iranian Economic Research, 3(9), 1-13. Kumar, A. (2003). Energy intensity: A quantitative exploration for Indian manufacturing, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research Mumbai-65 Ladu, M. G., & Meleddu, M. (2014). Is there any relationship between energy and TFP (total factor productivity)? A panel cointegration approach for Italian regions, Energy, 75, 560-567. Lashkari, M. (2011). The Impact of monetary variables on economic growth in Iran: A monetarists’ approach, Journal of Economic Growth and Development Research, 1(1), 79-105. Lin, B., & Wang, M. (2021). What drives energy intensity fall in China? Evidence from a meta-frontier approach, Applied Energy, 281, 116034. Lopez, R., Galinato, G. I., & Islam, A. (2011). Fiscal spending and the environment: Theory and empirics. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 62 (2), 180-198. Mousavian, S. M., Karimi Takanlu, Z., Sadeghi, S. K., & Pourebadollahan, M. (2018). Energy intensity in Iranian provincial manufacturing industries: Investigating the effects of government expenditures and foreign direct investment using spatial econometric models, Iranian Energy Economics, 7(28), 157-184. Mohamadzadeh, P., Behboudi, D., & Ebrahimi, S. (2014). The relationship between energy consumption and einancial development in Iran, Energy Economics Review, 10(39), 77-104. Nasr Esfahani, R., Akbari, N.A., Bidram, R. (2005). The Determination of seasonal output gap and effects of nominal variable on It, VAR model (Case Study: Iran), Iranian Economic Research, 7(22), 43-68. Perotti, R. (2002). Estimation the effects of fiscal policy in OECD countries, European central bank, Working Paper 168. Pourmand, T., & Salmani, B. (2019). Spatial analysis of R&D and technology spillovers on energy intensity in Iran, Journal of Energy Planning and Policy Research, 5(2), 171-210. Sadeghi, H., Lavasani Keyvan, Sh., & Baghjari, M. (2010). The effects of energy price adjustment on macroeconomic variables: Structural vector auto regressive approach, Journal of Economic Modeling Research, 1(1), 49-76. Salimifar, M., Haghnejad, A., & Rahimi, M. (2011). A Survey of the effect of production factors on energy consumption intensity in Iran: An analysis based on Cobb-Douglas production function, Journal of Knowledge and Development, 17(34), 1-19. Samadi, F. (2017). The impact of monetary and real variables on capital market rReturn with using the model PLS-TVPR, Financial Management Perspective, 6(16), 51-74. Samargandi, N. (2019). Energy intensity and its determinants in OPEC continue, Energy, 186, 115803. Santiago, R., Fuinhas, J. A., & Marques. (2020). An analysis of the energy intensity of Latin American and caribbean countries: empirical evidence on the role of public and private capital stock, Energy, 211, 118925. Sayadi, M., Mamipour, S., & Cheraghi, M. (2020). Investigating The impacts of price, income and efficiency factors on energy intensity of Iran, S Power Sector: Application of SVAR model for thermal power plants, Journal of Industrial Economic Researches, 4(13), 47-60. Shabanzadeh, M., Taheri, E., & Riahi, F. (2017). Examining the telationship between economic development, diversification and trade liberalization to energy intensity in Iranian agricultural sector, Journal of Economic Growth and Development Research, 7(27), 143-156. Shahbazi, K., Hekmati Farid, S., & Rezaei, H. (2016). The Effect of government size and good governance on energy consumption iIntensity: A Case Study of OPEC Countries, Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, 2(4), 23-48. Sillah, B. M. S., & Al-Sheikh, H.M.H. (2012). Income, price and government expenditure elasticities of oil in the gulf cooperation council countries, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 2(4), 333-341. Subrahmania, B. M. H. (2005). Labour productivity, energy intensity and economic performance in small enterprises: A study of brick enterprises cluster in India, Energy Conversion and Management, 47, 763-777. Rasekhi, S., Asadi, S. P., & Kiani, M. (2017). Modeling energy intensity in Iranian manufacturing industries, Journal of Economic Modeling, 2(1), 33-57. Wang, Zh., & He, w. (2017). Regional energy intensity reduction potential in China: A non-parametric analysis approach, Journal of Cleaner Production, 149, 426-435. Yavari, K., & Biabany Khamene, K. (2020). The effects of real shocks on energy intensity: case of Iran, Journal of Energy Planning and Policy Research, 5(17), 7-32. Yuxiang, K., & Chen, Z. (2010). Government expenditure and energy intensity in China, Energy Policy, 38, 691-694. Zhang, C., Su, B., Zhou, K., & Sun, Y. (2020). A multi-dimensional analysis on microeconomic factors of China's industrial energy intensity (2000-2017), Energy Policy, 147, 111836. Zheng, Y., Q, J., & Chen, X. (2011). The effect of increasing exports on industrial energy intensity in China, Energy Policy, 39, 2688-2698. | ||
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 160 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 117 |