دانشگاه مازندران

  اخبار و اعلانات

 آمار

تعداد نشریات29
تعداد شماره‌ها431
تعداد مقالات4,216
تعداد مشاهده مقاله6,796,957
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله5,043,971
عرفانی, علیرضا, طالب بیدختی, آزاده. (1402). بررسی تأثیر تقاضای گردشگری بر توسعه مالی با تمرکز بر اثرات تعاملی آنها بر رشد تولید سرانه ایران. پژوهشنامه مدیریت اجرایی, 12(47), 119-141. doi: 10.22080/jtpd.2023.25958.3820
علیرضا عرفانی; آزاده طالب بیدختی. "بررسی تأثیر تقاضای گردشگری بر توسعه مالی با تمرکز بر اثرات تعاملی آنها بر رشد تولید سرانه ایران". پژوهشنامه مدیریت اجرایی, 12, 47, 1402, 119-141. doi: 10.22080/jtpd.2023.25958.3820
عرفانی, علیرضا, طالب بیدختی, آزاده. (1402). 'بررسی تأثیر تقاضای گردشگری بر توسعه مالی با تمرکز بر اثرات تعاملی آنها بر رشد تولید سرانه ایران', پژوهشنامه مدیریت اجرایی, 12(47), pp. 119-141. doi: 10.22080/jtpd.2023.25958.3820
عرفانی, علیرضا, طالب بیدختی, آزاده. بررسی تأثیر تقاضای گردشگری بر توسعه مالی با تمرکز بر اثرات تعاملی آنها بر رشد تولید سرانه ایران. پژوهشنامه مدیریت اجرایی, 1402; 12(47): 119-141. doi: 10.22080/jtpd.2023.25958.3820

بررسی تأثیر تقاضای گردشگری بر توسعه مالی با تمرکز بر اثرات تعاملی آنها بر رشد تولید سرانه ایران

برنامه ریزی و توسعه گردشگری
مقاله 5، دوره 12، شماره 47، دی 1402، صفحه 119-141    اصل مقاله (583.24 K)
نوع مقاله: علمی-پژوهشی
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22080/jtpd.2023.25958.3820
نویسندگان
علیرضا عرفانی* 1؛ آزاده طالب بیدختی2
1استاد گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه سمنان
2گروه اقتصاد- دانشکده اقتصاد مدیریت و علوم اداری- دانشگاه سمنان
تاریخ دریافت: 11 شهریور 1402،  تاریخ بازنگری: 18 مهر 1402،  تاریخ پذیرش: 21 آبان 1402 
چکیده
زمینه و هدف: درک ارتباط بین توسعه مالی و فعالیت‌های گردشگری برای جذب سرمایه‌گذاری و ارتقای رشد پایدار حائز اهمیت است. مخارج گردشگری و تعداد گردشگران بین‌المللی به‌عنوان مؤلفه‌های تقاضای گردشگری، به‌طور مستقیم یا به‌واسطه‌ی تأثیری که بر سطح توسعه مالی دارند، می‌توانند بر رشد اقتصادی اثر‌گذار باشند.
روش‌شناسی: با استفاده از رویکرد خودرگرسیونی با وقفه‌های توزیعی (ARDL) برای داده‌های اقتصاد ایران طی دوره زمانی ۱۳۷۴ تا ۱۳۹۷، ارتباط تقاضای گردشگری با سطح توسعه مالی، آزمون می‌شود. سپس، نحوه تأثیر توسعه مالی بر ارتباط بین تقاضای گردشگری و رشد تولید ناخالص داخلی سرانه، بررسی می‌شود.
یافته‌ها: نتایج بر ارتباط مثبت و معنادار بین سطح تقاضای گردشگری و توسعه مالی دلالت دارد؛ به‌ازای یک درصد رشد مخارج گردشگری، شاخص توسعه مالی، به میزان ۳۴۲۵/۰ درصد افزایش می‌‌یابد. رشد یک ‌درصدی ورود گردشگران بین‌المللی، به افزایش ۶۰۹/۰ درصدی شاخص توسعه مالی منجر می‌شود. اثر تعاملی توسعه مالی و مخارج گردشگری بر رشد تولید سرانه، ۴۰۸/۰ و به‌لحاظ آماری معنادار است. بر این‌اساس می‌توان استدلال کرد بهبود توسعه مالی به تقویت اثر مخارج گردشگری بر رشد تولید سرانه منجر می‌شود.
نتیجه‌گیری و پیشنهادات: نتایج سازگار با فرضیه رشد منجر به گردشگری بوده و حاکی از آن است که مقامات می‌توانند رشد اقتصادی را با تقویت بخش گردشگری و توسعه مالی، بهبود بخشند.
نوآوری و اصالت: توجه به اثر شاخص‌های تقاضای گردشگری بر سطح توسعه مالی، و نیز اثر تعاملی آنها بر رشد تولید سرانه، خلأ مطالعاتی موجود را پوشش می‌دهد و مزیت مطالعه حاضر محسوب می‌شود.
کلیدواژه‌ها
تقاضای گردشگری؛ توسعه مالی؛ رشد تولید سرانه؛ رویکرد خود‌رگرسیونی با وقفه‌های توزیعی (ARDL)؛ اقتصاد ایران
عنوان مقاله [English]
Investigating the Impact of Tourism Demand on Financial Development, Focusing on Their Interactive Effects on the GDP Per Capita Growth in Iran
نویسندگان [English]
alireza erfani1؛ Azadeh Talebbeydokhti2
1professor of economics at semnan university
2Economics Department,- Faculty of Economics, Management & Administrative Sciences- Semnan University
چکیده [English]
Context and Purpose: Understanding the relationship between financial development and tourism activities is crucial to attracting investment and promoting sustainable growth. Tourism expenditures and international tourist arrivals as components of tourism demand affect economic growth directly or through their influence on financial development.
Design/methodology/approach: Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) for the data on Iran's economy from 1995 to 2018, we examined the relationship between tourism demand and the level of financial development. Then, we investigated the impact of financial development on the relationship between tourism demand and GDP per capita growth.
Findings: The results indicated a positive and significant relationship between tourism demand and financial development: For one percent growth of tourism expenditures, the financial development increases by 0.3425 percent. A one percent rise in the arrival of international tourists leads to a 0.609 percent increase in financial development. The interactive effect of financial development and tourism expenditures on the growth of per capita production is 0.408, which is statistically significant. Therefore, we can argue that enhancements in financial development strengthen the effect of tourism expenditure on GDP per capita growth.
Conclusion: The results are consistent with the tourism-led growth hypothesis and suggest authorities can improve economic growth by strengthening the tourism sector and financial development.
Originality/value: Paying attention to the impact of tourism demand indicators on financial development, besides their interactive effect on the growth of per capita production, covers the existing study gap and is considered the advantage of the present study.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
Tourism Demand, Financial Development, GDP Per Capita Growth, Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL), Iranian Economy
مراجع

Azad Akhbari, M., Shahabadi, A., & Haghkhah, D. (2022). The Effect of Types of Capital on the Development of Tourism Industry in the Selected Countriesry. Iranian Journal of Trade Studies, 26(103), 77-106. (In Persian).
Balaguer, J., & Cantavella-Jorda, M. (2002). Tourism as A Long-run Economic Growth Factor: The Spanish Case. Applied economics, 34(7), 877-884.
Bazzazan, F. (2022). The Effect of Foreign Tourism Development on Poverty in Iran. Iranian Journal of Economic Research, 27(92), 153-179. (In Persian).
Brida , J. G., Cortes‐Jimenez, I., & Pulina, M. (2016). Has the Tourism-Led Growth Hypothesis been Validated? A Literature Review. Current Issues in Tourism, 19(5), 394–430.
Chaisumpunsakul, W., & Pholphirul, P. (2017). Does International Trade Promote Tourism Demand? Evidence from Thailand’s Trading Partners. Kasetsart Journal of Social Sciences, 39(3), 393-400.
Dritsakis, N. (2004). Tourism as A Long-run Economic Growth Factor: An Empirical Investigation for Greece Using Causality Analysis. Tourism Economics, 10(3), 305-316.
Dwyer, L., & Forsyth, P. (2006). International Handbook on The Economics of Tourism. Chelten-ham: Edward Elgar.
Ehigiamusoe, K. (2020). Tourism, Growth and Environment: Analysis of Non‐Linear and Moderating Effects. Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 28(8), 1174–1192.
Ehigiamusoe, K. (2021). The Nexus between Tourism, Financial Development, and Economic Growth: Evidence from African Countries. African Development Review, 33(2), 382-396.
Ehigiamusoe, K. U., & Lean, H. H. (2018). Finance–Growth Nexus: New Insights from the West African Region. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 54(11), 2596–2613.
Fennel, D. (1999). Ecotourism Policy and Planning. London: CABI Publishing.
Gössling, S., Scott, D., & Hall, C. M. (2020). Pandemics, Tourism and Global Change: A Rapid Assessment of COVID-19. Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 29(1), 1-20.
Hsu, C., Chen, M., & Yang, S. (2019). Residents’ Attitudes toward Support for Island Sustainable Tourism. Sustainability, 11(18), 5051, 1-16.
Hussain, S., Hussain, M., Iqbal, A., & Kanw, A. (2023). Investigating the Relationship between Financial Development and Tourism Management: Evidence from Asian Economies. IRASD Journal of Economics, 5(2), 315–326.
Isik, C., Dogru, T., & Turk, E. (2018). A Nexus of Linear and Nonlinear Relationships between Tourism Demand, Renewable Energy Consumption, and Economic Growth: Theory and Evidence. International Journal of Tourism Research, 20(1), 38–49.
Jahanian, M. (2017). The Role of Iranian Government in the Development of Tourism Economy with a Focus on Resistive Economy. Journal of Tourism and Development, 5(3), 156-177. (In Persian).
Khan, S., Hussain, R., Maqbool, M., Ali, E., & Numan, M. (2019). The Mediating Role of Innovation between Corporate Governance and Organizational Performance: Moderating Role of Innovative Culture in Pakistan Textile Sector. Cogent Business & Management, 6: 1631018, 1-23.
Khoshkam, M., Saboori, B., & Ghaderi, Z. (2019). Impact of International Tourism on Economic Growth: A Case of Selected Developed and Developing Countries with GMM Estimation. Journal of Tourism Planning and Development, 8(29), 191-213.
King, R. G., & Levine, R. (1993). Finance, Entrepreneurship and Growth. Journal of Monetary Economics, 32(3), 513–542.
Krabokoukis, T., & Polyzos, S. (2021). An Investigation of Factors Determining the Tourism Attractiveness of Greece’s Prefectures. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 12, 1997–2015.
Kum, H., Aslan, A., & Gungor, M. (2015). Tourism and Economic Growth: The Case of Next-11 Countries. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 5(4), 1075-1081.
Lee, C. C., & Chien, M. S. (2008). Structural Breaks, Tourism Development, and Economic Growth: Evidence from Taiwan. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), 77(4), 358-368.
Levine, R., Loayza, N., & Beck, T. (2000). Financial Intermediation and Growth: Causality and Cause. Journal of Monetary Economics, 46(1), 31–77.
Magano, J., & Cunha, M. (2020). Digital Marketing Impact on Tourism in Portugal: A Quantitative Study. African Journal of Hospitality Tourism and Leisure, 9(1), 1-20.
Mehrotra, A., & Yetman, J. (2015). Financial Inclusion – Issues for Central Banks. BIS Quarterly Review, 83-96.
Moscardo, G. (2022). Stories of Sustainability in Tourism. In Planning and Managing Sustainability in Tourism: Empirical Studies, Best-practice Cases and Theoretical Insights. Springer.
Mowforth, M., & Munt, I. (2023). Tourism and Sustainability: Development, Globalisation and New Tourism in the Third World. Routledge Publishing.
Mulali, U., Solarin, S., & Gholipour, H. (2020). Relationship between Financial Development and Inbound Tourism: A Revisit. Journal of Public Affairs, 21(3), 1-5.
Musa, M., Jelilov, G., Lorember, P., & Usman, O. (2021). Effects of Tourism, Financial Development, and Renewable Energy on Environmental Performance in EU-28: Does Institutional Quality Matter? Environmental science and pollution research, 28(38), 53328-53339.
Musakwa, M., & Odhiambo, N. (2020). Tourism and Financial Development in South Africa: a Trivariate Approach. Journal of Policy Research in Tourism, Leisure and Events, 14(2), 148-164.
Narayan, P., Narayan, S., Prasad, A., & Prasad, B. (2010). Tourism and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Analysis for Pacific Island countries. Tourism Economics, 16(1), 169–183.
Nargasi, S., Babaki, R., & Efati, M. (2018). Investigating the Relationship between Tourism, Economic Growth and Financial Development in Iran (2015-2018). Financial Economics, 12(44), 41-68. (In Persian).
Neuhofer, B., & Buhalis, D. (2021). Experience Design in the Smart Tourism Destination. In Routledge Handbook of the Tourist Experience: Routledge.
Panjaitan, M. (2022). Does Good Financial Development Attract Tourists? Evidence from Asean Countries. Journal of Developing Economies, 7(2), 342-353.
Pata, U. (2021). Tourism and Economic Growth in G10 Countries: Evidence from An Asymmetric Panel Causality Test. Tourism, 69(1), 112–126.
Ribeiro, E. D., & Wang, B. (2020). Tourism Led Growth Hypothesis: Has The Tourism Industry An Impact on The Economic Growth of Sao Tome and Principe? International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 10(1), 180-185.
Sabbagh Kermani, M., & Amirian, S. (2000). Investigating the Economic Effects of Tourism in the Islamic Republic of Iran using Data-Output Analysis. Iranian Journal of Trade Studies, 16, 57-84. (In Persian).
Saira, J. (1997). The Impact of Monetary Policy on Price and Exchange Rate Stability in Suriname. Social and Economic Studies, 56(2/3), 75-91.
Salem, A. A., & Arab Yarmohammadi, J. (2019). Investigating the Relationship between Financial Development and Income Distribution in Iran's economy. Ravand, 19(58), 127- 151. (In Persian).
Sharifi-Renani, H., Safaei-Shakib, M., & Emadzadeh, M. (2009). The Effect of Tourism Industry on Economic Growth: The Case of Iran. Financial Economics, 3(6), 1-17. (In Persian).
Sharpley, R., & Harrison, D. (2019). Tourism and Development–towards a Research Agenda. A Research Agenda for Tourism and Development. Edward Elgar Pubblishing.
Song, H., & Lin, S. (2010). Impacts of the Financial and Economic Crisis on Tourism in Asia. Journal of Travel Research, 49(1), 16–30.
Su, Y., Cherian, J., Sial, M., Badulescu, A., Thu, P., Badulescu, D., & Samad, S. (2021). Does Tourism Affect Economic Growth of China? A Panel Granger Causality Approach. Sustainability (switzerland), 13(3), 1–12.
Taghavi, M., Safai, P., & Kord, A. (2018). Investigating the Effects of Tourism Growth on GDP, A Case Study of Iran. Applied Economics, 8(27), 49-58. (In Persian).
Taghavi, M., & Gholipoor Soleymani, A. (2009). Factors Effecting the Growth of Tourism Industry in Iran. Economic Research, 9(34), 157-172. (In Persian).
Tang, C., Salman, A., & Abosedra, S. (2019). Dynamic Interaction of Tourism, Finance, and Institutions in Explaining Growth in Asia's Little Dragon Economies. International Journal of Tourism Research, 22(1), 15–25.
Tayebi, S. K., Jabbari, A., & Babaki, R. (2008). Investigating a Causality Relationship between International Tourism and Economic Growth: Iran, OECD and Selected Countries. Knowledge and Development, 15(24), 65-87. (In Persian).
Theobald, W. (2005). Global Tourism: The Next Decade. New York: Free Press.
Thommandru, A., Espinoza-Maguiña, M., Ramirez-Asis, E., Ray, S., Naved, M., & Guzman-Ava, M. (2023). Role of Tourism and Hospitality Business in Economic Development. Materials Today: Proceedings, 80, 2901-2904.
Tiwari, A., Das, D., & Duta, A. (2019). Geopolitical Risk, Economic Policy Uncertainty and Tourist Arrivals: Evidence from A Developing Country. Tourism Management, 75, 323-327.
Tribe, J. (2004). The Economics of Recreations, Leisure, and Tourism. Oxford: Elsevier.
Tugcu, C. (2014). Tourism and Economic Growth Nexus Revisited: A Panel Causality Analysis for the Case of the Mediterranean Region. Tourism Management, 42, 207–212.
Yeon, J., Song, H. J., Yu, H. C., Vaughan, Y., & Lee, S. (2021). Are Socially Responsible Firms in the US Tourism and Hospitality Industry Better off During COVID-19? Tourism Management, 85, 104321.

آمار
تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 209
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 163


سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی. قدرت گرفته از سیناوب